Tuesday, October 29, 2013

UFC Fight Night 29

Demain Maia (-280) vs. Jake Shields (+255) 5 Rds.
Demian Maia has great BJJ and has improved his standup over the years.  Jake Shields is a strong wrestler and grappler who applies constant pressure.  Both of these guys don’t have much power in their hands (especially Shields).  Jake Shields has surprised many people by somehow finding a way to win fights even if he has to by volume striking.  Maia might have a hard time getting Shields to the ground and Shields could land some takedowns and hold top position.  Maia has never fought 5 Rds at 170 lbs so if this goes late rounds he could possibly gas.  I do think this fight will be a close decision.  Lets take the Over 4.5 and small on Jake Shields.

Top Plays:  1 Star Over 4.5 Rds Maia vs Shields (-120); ½ Star Jake Shields (+255)

Top Plays:
1.5 Star Iliarde Santos (-140)- Santos is a well rounded fighter with power in his hands and solid BJJ.  I see him being able to finish this fight by TKO or win by Decision.  Even if this is a close decision the Brazilian judges usually swing the scores in favor of the Brazilian.

Top Parlay:
1 Star Thiago Silva; Mike Pierce (-120)

Predictions:
Maia Split Decision
Erick Silva 2nd Rd TKO
Thiago Silva 2nd Rd TKO
Maldonaldo UD
Pierce 3rd Rd TKO
Dillashaw UD
Alcantara UD
Cabral UD
Santos UD
Patrick UD

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