Strikeforce Rousey vs Kaufman Recap: Top Parlays 2-0 and Top Play 1-0!

Ronda Rousey (-700) vs. Sarah Kaufman (+500) 5 RDS. Strikeforce Women’s Title

Rousey has excellent Judo and submission, especially her armbar. Kaufman has some solid striking but her weakness is her wrestling and ground game.  Look for Rousey to get this fight to the ground fairly quickly and lock in an armbar sometime late in the 1^st Rd or early 2^nd Rd.

Top Plays: 2 Star Ronda Rousey prop bet wins by Submission (-290)

Strikeforce Rousey vs Kaufman Top Play, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Play:

2 Star Ronda Rousey prop bet wins by Submission (-290)

Top Parlays:

2 Star: Ronda Rousey (-700); Ovince St. Preux (-700); Ronaldo Souza (-525)

1 Star: Adlan Amagov (-470); Meisha Tate (-470)

Forced Action Plays (FAPs):

Bobby Green (+110)

Roger Bowling (+245)

UFC 150 Recap:

UFC 150

Ben Henderson (-200) vs. Frankie Edgar (+170) UFC Lightweight Title Fight 5 RDS.

Henderson is a very well rounded fighter with a blackbelt in TKD, BJJ and is a solid wrestler.  Frankie Edgar has good boxing is quick on his feet and has solid wrestling.  We picked Henderson in the first fight and we are picking him again tonight.  He is just a little better than Frankie in nearly every aspect of MMA.  Look for Henderson to outpoint Frankie and win a decision or possibly a late finish.  Take Henderson -200. 

Top Plays: 1 Star Ben Henderson (-200)

Donald Cerrone (-370) vs. Melvin Guillard (+310)

Cerrone has solid kickboxing and submissions.  Guillard has tremendous KO power in his hands and is a vicious striker.  Guillard looked like he improved his submission defense and stuck to a gameplan in his last fight beating Camoes who is a submission specialist.  Cerrone does have solid submissions and this is a factor but he doesn’t have a wrestling background and usually doesn’t try to get the fight to the ground.  The line on this is crazy for Guillard to a dog this size.  These fighters should feel each other out the first minute to minute and half and this fight should go to the 3^rd round.  Take Guillard (+310) and the over 1.5 Rds. -145. 

Top Plays:  1 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Cerrone vs Guillard (-145); 1 Star Melvin Guillard (+310)

Yushin Okami (-600) vs. Buddy Roberts (+450)

Okami might be a little gunshy in this fight and he will look to push Roberts against the cage and take him down.  Roberts is a well rounded fighter and his ground game is solid enough not to get finished by Okami.  Take the Over 2.5 Rds (-125).

Top Play: 1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Okami vs Roberts (-125)

Jake Shields (-155) vs. Ed Herman (+135)

Shields is a wonderful grappler with great submissions and improved standup. Herman has some power in his hands and is a solid grappler, but has struggled with other grapplers who have been able to shutdown his submissions.  Look for Jake Shields to wear down Herman with some takedowns and get a submission or possibly gut out a decision.  Take Jake Shields (-155)

Top Play: 2 Star Jake Shields (-155)

Max Holloway (-140) vs. Justin Lawrence (+120)

Holloway has solid boxing and kicks and is improving his grappling but it still isn’t solid. Lawrence has some real knockout power in his hands and is coming off a KO head kick victory.  Look for Lawrence to land some big strikes and hurt Holloway and eventually put him away with a TKO or KO, if Lawrence is threatened in the standup he is the better grappler and has an underrated ground game.  Take Justin Lawrence (+120).

Top Play: 4 Star Justin Lawrence (+120)

UFC 150 Top Plays:

Top Plays:

4 Star Justin Lawrence (+120)

2 Star Jake Shields (-155)

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Okami vs Roberts (-125)

1 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Cerrone vs Guillard (-145)

1 Star Melvin Guillard (+310)

1 Star Ben Henderson (-200)

UFC on Fox 4 Recap: 2-0 on Top Plays and Hit our 3 Star Parlay

Mauricio Shogun Rua (-380) vs. Brandon Vera (+300) 5 RDS.

Shogun is a murderer and has elite muay thai, his wrestling has improved after getting demolished by Jones.  Vera has some pretty decent muay thai himself but is not on the level of Shogun.  Vera also has problems with his cardio and won’t be able to handle Shogun’s blitzes of powerful strikes.  Look for Shogun to hurt Vera in the 2^nd Rd with a looping punch and then finishing Vera on the ground with Hammer Fists until the ref stops the fight.  Take Shogun by TKO/KO -170.

Top Plays: 3 Star Shogun Rua Prop Bet by TKO/KO -170 (or your book might have an inside the distance prop with close odds)

Mike Swick (-215) vs. DaMarques Johnson (+180)

Mike Swick had a long layoff and this should be the welcome back fight to get him on track.  Swick has some strong striking and a decent grappling game.  At this point I don’t know what Johnson is still doing in the UFC, he has some ok power in his hands but his ground game is pretty piss poor.  Swick should control this fight in the standup and if this fight goes to the ground he has a good shot of subbing Johnson.  Take Mike Swick (-215)

Top Play:  2 Star Mike Swick (-215)

UFC on Fox 4 Top Plays, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Plays:

3 Star Shogun Rua by TKO/KO (-170)

2 Star Mike Swick (-215)

Top Parlay:

3 Star: Shogun Rua (-380); Lyoto Machida (-290)=

Forced Action Plays (FAPs):

Joe Lauzon (-105)

Over 2.5 Rds. Grispi vs Yahya (+155)

Manvel Gamburyan (-165)

Over 2.5 Rds. Omigawa vs. Gamburyan (-270)

Under 3.5 Rds. Shogun vs. Vera (-280)

UFC 149 Recap

Renan Barao (-180) vs. Urijah Faber (+155) 5 RDS. Bantamweight Championship

Barao is an explosive striker with a very strong BJJ game. Faber is a solid all around fighter with some strong wrestling.  Barao has some solid boxing and muay thai, he uses his footwork, speed and strikes to stay away from takedowns.  Look for Barao to pick Faber apart in the stand up and if he hurts Faber he could possibly submit him.  This fight should go later rounds with and possibly a decision.  Take Barao (-190)

Top Plays: 2 Star Renan Barao (-180)

Hector Lombard (-380) vs. Tim Boetsch (+315)

Welcome to the UFC Hector Lombard! Lombard is a well rounded fighter with vicious striking and is a 4^th degree black belt in judo.  Boetsch has some solid wrestling and above average striking.  Look for Lombard to blitz Boetsch and hurt him with strikes many times in this fight probably finishing Boetsch sometime in the 2^nd or 3^rd Rd by TKO/KO.  Take Lombard (-380)

Top Plays:  3 Star Hector Lombard (-380); 2 Star Hector Lombard by TKO/KO (-140)

Shawn Jordan (-120) vs. Cheick Kongo (+100)

Jordan keeps improving and has some pretty solid wrestling and stand up.  Cheick Kongo has some solid striking but is not much of a grappler.  Look for Jordan to come in with a gameplan and look to grind Kongo against the cage and work for takedowns.  Jordan should win this fight by a TKO or possible decision.  Take Shawn Jordan.

Top Play:  1 Star Shawn Jordan (-120)

Brian Ebersole (-400) vs. James Head (+325)

Ebersole is a very well rounded fighter with a very strong grappling game.  Ebersole shold be able to outpoint Head in the standup and take Head down and displaying his strong ground and pound.  Look for Ebersole to win this by TKO or possibly decision.  Take Ebersole (-400).

Top Play:  4 Star Brian Ebersole (-400)

Court McGee (-120) vs. Nick Ring (+100)

McGee has some pretty solid boxing and wrestling.  Nick Ring is a strong grappler with some decent striking.  Look for McGee to outpoint Ring possibly getting a takedown in the fight on his way to a decision victory.  Take McGee (-120) and prop bet Fight goes to Decision.

Top Plays:  2 Star Court McGee (-120) and Prop bet Fight goes to Decision

UFC 149 Top Plays and Parlay:

Top Plays:

2 Star Renan Barao (-180)

3 Star Hector Lombard (-380); 2 Star Hector Lombard by TKO/KO (-140)

1 Star Shawn Jordan (-120)

4 Star Brian Ebersole (-400)

2 Star Court McGee (-120) and Prop bet Fight goes to Decision

Top Parlay:

1 Star: Daniel Pineda (-240); Brian Ebersole (-400); Hector Lombard (-380)

Forced Action Plays (for Action Junkies):

Chris Clements (+120)

Renan Barao by Decision Prop (+223)

Shawn Jordan by Decision Prop (+520)