Saturday, August 18, 2012

UFC 150 Recap:

UFC 150

Ben Henderson (-200) vs. Frankie Edgar (+170) UFC Lightweight Title Fight 5 RDS.
Henderson is a very well rounded fighter with a blackbelt in TKD, BJJ and is a solid wrestler.  Frankie Edgar has good boxing is quick on his feet and has solid wrestling.  We picked Henderson in the first fight and we are picking him again tonight.  He is just a little better than Frankie in nearly every aspect of MMA.  Look for Henderson to outpoint Frankie and win a decision or possibly a late finish.  Take Henderson -200. 

Top Plays: 1 Star Ben Henderson (-200)

Donald Cerrone (-370) vs. Melvin Guillard (+310)
Cerrone has solid kickboxing and submissions.  Guillard has tremendous KO power in his hands and is a vicious striker.  Guillard looked like he improved his submission defense and stuck to a gameplan in his last fight beating Camoes who is a submission specialist.  Cerrone does have solid submissions and this is a factor but he doesn’t have a wrestling background and usually doesn’t try to get the fight to the ground.  The line on this is crazy for Guillard to a dog this size.  These fighters should feel each other out the first minute to minute and half and this fight should go to the 3rd round.  Take Guillard (+310) and the over 1.5 Rds. -145. 

Top Plays:  1 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Cerrone vs Guillard (-145); 1 Star Melvin Guillard (+310)

Yushin Okami (-600) vs. Buddy Roberts (+450)
Okami might be a little gunshy in this fight and he will look to push Roberts against the cage and take him down.  Roberts is a well rounded fighter and his ground game is solid enough not to get finished by Okami.  Take the Over 2.5 Rds (-125).

Top Play: 1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Okami vs Roberts (-125)

Jake Shields (-155) vs. Ed Herman (+135)
Shields is a wonderful grappler with great submissions and improved standup. Herman has some power in his hands and is a solid grappler, but has struggled with other grapplers who have been able to shutdown his submissions.  Look for Jake Shields to wear down Herman with some takedowns and get a submission or possibly gut out a decision.  Take Jake Shields (-155)

Top Play: 2 Star Jake Shields (-155)

Max Holloway (-140) vs. Justin Lawrence (+120)
Holloway has solid boxing and kicks and is improving his grappling but it still isn’t solid. Lawrence has some real knockout power in his hands and is coming off a KO head kick victory.  Look for Lawrence to land some big strikes and hurt Holloway and eventually put him away with a TKO or KO, if Lawrence is threatened in the standup he is the better grappler and has an underrated ground game.  Take Justin Lawrence (+120).

Top Play: 4 Star Justin Lawrence (+120)

UFC 150 Top Plays:

Top Plays:
4 Star Justin Lawrence (+120)
2 Star Jake Shields (-155)
1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Okami vs Roberts (-125)
1 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Cerrone vs Guillard (-145)
1 Star Melvin Guillard (+310)
1 Star Ben Henderson (-200)

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