Sunday, October 14, 2012

UFC 153 Top Plays 4-2 Top Parlays 2-0! Overall 6-2!

Anderson Silva (-1100) vs. Stephan Bonnar (+700) 3 Rds.
Anderson Silva needs no introduction, he is the greatest striker on the planet with a well rounded game.  Bonnar can take tons of punishment and keep coming.  Bonnar has been TKOed due to cuts, but look for Silva to slowly pick apart Bonnar on his way to a 3rd Round finish or a Decision Victory.  Take the Over 1.5 Rds. Silva vs. Bonnar (-170)

Top Play: 2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Silva vs. Bonnar (-170)

UFC 153 Top Play, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Plays
2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Silva vs. Bonnar (-170)
1 Star Erick Silva (-140)
4 Star Demian Maia (-145)
½ Star Prop Bet Maia by Sub (+310)
1 Star Chris Camozzi (+130)
2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Madadi vs Marcello (+165)

Top Parlays:
1 Star Glover Teixera; Phil Davis
1 Star Diego Brandao; Gleison Tibau

FAPs(Forced Action Plays)
Prop Bet Anderson Silva by Dec (+260)
Prop Bet Antonio Nogueira Inside the Distance (-150)
Sam Sicilia (+210)

Predictions
Anderson Silva UD
Nogueira 2nd Rd Sub
Teixeira 3Rd Rd TKO
Erick Silva 2nd Rd TKO
Davis 2nd Rd Sub
Maia 2nd Rd Sub
Sicilia 2nd Rd TKO
Tibau UD
Brandao 1st Rd TKO
Moraes 2nd Rd Sub
Camozzi 3rd TKO
Madadi UD

Saturday, October 13, 2012

UFC on FX 5 Top Plays, Parlay and Predictions

Travis Browne (-225) vs. Antonio Silva (+175) 5 RDS.
Travis Browne keeps improving in the Octagon.  He has an undefeated record with a solid standup game and ground game.  Look for Travis Browne to win this fight in the standup and drop Silva with punches sometime in the 2nd Rd.  Take Travis Browne (-225).

Top Play: 1/2 Star Travis Browne (-225) or better value Browne wins inside the distance (-170)

Jeremy Stephens (-225) vs. Yves Edwards (+190)  (Late news Stephens was in Jail last night be careful on this one)
Jeremy Stephens has some solid boxing and power in his hands.  Stephens should be able to land some big punches and control the clinch and out grapple Edwards.  Look for Stephens to win this fight by a late TKO/KO or take this on points.  Take Jeremy Stephens (-225)

Top Play: 2 Star Jeremy Stephens (-225)

Michael Johnson (-165) vs. Danny Castillo (+145)
Both fighters are well improved over the last 2 years.  Both have wrestling bases and solid striking.  Johnson probably holds the advantage in the striking slightly but look for Castillo to control the grappling and take this one by a close decision.  Take Danny Castillo (+145) and the Over 2.5 Rds. (-165)

Top Plays: 1/2 Star Danny Castillo (+145); 1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Michael Johnson vs Danny Castillo (-165)

Jacob Volkmann (-220) vs. Shane Roller (+180)
Both fighters have wrestling bases and solid grappling.  Neither one of these fighters are finishers and this fight has the recipe to go to decision.  Take the Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)

Top Play: 2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)

Mike Pierce (-175) vs. Aaron Simpson (+160)
Mike Pierce has a well rounded game as does Aaron Simpson.  Both have wrestling backgrounds buy Pierce is a little better at nearly every aspect of MMA.  Look for Pierce to win the standup and the grappling battle in this fight and take it by decision.  Take Mike Pierce (-175).

Top Play: 2 Star Mike Pierce (-175)

UFC on FX 5 Top Play, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Plays:
1/2 Star Travis Browne (-225)
2 Star Jeremy Stephens (-225)
1/2 Star Danny Castillo (+145)
1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Michael Johnson vs Danny Castillo (-165)
2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)
2 Star Mike Pierce (-175)

Top Parlay:
1 Star Jacob Volkmann; Jake Ellenberger

FAPs(Forced Action Plays)
Over 2.5 Rds. Mike Pierce vs Aaron Simpson (-210)
Bart Palaszewski (+175)
Under 2.5 Rds. Ellenberger vs Hieron (-105)
Under 2.5 Rds. Dodson vs Formiga (+170)

Predictions
Pierce UD
LeVesseur UD
Uyenoyama UD
Palaszewski UD
Volkmann UD
Castillo UD
Stephens 2nd Rd TKO
Neer UD
Dodson 3rd Rd TKO
Ellenberger 2nd Rd TKO
Browne 2nd Rd TKO

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

UFC on Fuel TV 5: Great Night 3-1 Total on Top Plays and Parlay (2-0 on FAPs)

Stipe Mioci (-180) vs. Stefan Struve (+150) 5 RDS.
Mioci is an upcoming HW with power in his hands and a solid wrestling base.  Struve is a solid grappler with decent striking.  He probably will want to get this fight to the ground.  Mioci has some pretty solid takedown D and should keep this fight stand and drop Struve with punches.  Take Stipe Mioci (-180).

Top Play: 1 Star Stipe Mioci (-180)

Dan Hardy (-215) vs. Amir Sadollah (+180) 5 RDS.
Dan Hardy has solid striking and has been improving his grappling.  Amir Sadollah will struggle with Dan Hardy in the standup and will have to grapple to keep in the fight.  Dan Hardy should land some big punches and keep this fight standing possibly finishing Sadollah in the later rounds or taking a decision. Take Dan Hardy (-215)

Top Play: 2 Star Dan Hardy (-215)

John Hathaway (-260) vs. John Maguire (+220)
Hathaway is a well rounded fighter with solid technique in his striking.  Maguire is a strong grappler with above average standup.  Look for this fight to decision as neither one of these guys have dynamite in their hands and Hathaway has good enough grappling not to get subbed.  Take the over 2.5 Rds (-220)

Top Play: 2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. John Hathaway vs John Maguire (-220)

UFC on Fuel 5 Top Play, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Plays:
1 Star Stipe Mioci (-180)
2 Star Dan Hardy (-215)
2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. John Hathaway vs John Maguire (-220)

Top Parlay:
1 Star John Hathaway; Brad Pickett

FAPs (Forced Action Plays)
Under 2.5 Rds. Pickett vs Jabouin (+170)
Over 1.5 Rds. Ogle vs Corassani (-190)

Predictions
Stipe KO 2nd
Dan Hardy 3rd Rd. TKO
Pickett Sub 2nd
Sass Sub 2nd
Hathaway UD
Mills 2nd Rd TKO
Manuwa TKO 2nd
Corassani UD
Tavares UD
Nelson Sub 1st Rd
Young Split Dec.