Saturday, January 26, 2013

UFC on FX7 Plays

Vitor Belfort (Even) vs. Michael Bisping (-110) 5 Rds
Vitor Belfort has some of the fastest hands and most powerful punching power in the MW division.  Michael Bisping is a solid technical boxer with great cardio.  Bisping as of late seems to added more offensive wrestling in his gameplan . I see Bisping trying to grapple with Vitor and take this fight to the ground when he can.  Vitor will be looking to blitz Bisping with a flurry of punches.  Vitor could end this fight early first even 2nd Rd, Bisping will have to put together a great gameplan not to brawl get takedowns when possible and go for a decision, I don’t think Bisping can finish Vitor inside 5 rds unless he gasses.  Vitors cardio could be a problem and that is why there not a big play on this only a 1 star.  To add this fight is in Brazil and Vitor seems great value especially as the public bet Bisping from the dog into the favorite role.  Take Vitor Belfort.  Prediction: Vitor 2nd Rd TKO

Top Play:  1 Star Vitor Belfort (-105)

Top Plays with Short Write Ups Due to Time Restraints
1 Star Diego Nunes(-145)- Nunes is a solid striker and will look to keep this fight standing. Lentz will go for takendowns but I don’t think he will do enough for the decision.  Nunes should do enough damage in the standup to take a decision. Take Diego Nunes
.5 Star Ben Rothwell (-110)-Not a big fan of betting HWs but I feel Rothwells chin and overall game should be enough to get him this victory possibly by TKO in the 2nd Rd. Take Ben Rothwell (-110)
.5 Star Godofredo Castro (+170)- Great value in this he has a solid overall game and could pull out the decision. Take Godofredo Castro (+170)

Forced Action Plays:
Prop bet Edson Barboza wins inside the distance (Even)
Over 2.5 Rds Tavares vs Nurmagomedov (-180)
Rothwell by Decision (+425)

Top Parlay
1 Star Edson Barboza; Francisco Trinaldo; Wagner Prado; Yuri Alcantara (+185)

Predictions
Belfort 2nd Rd TKO
Safarian 3rd Rd Sub
Rothwell 2nd Rd TKO
Nurmagomedov Decision
Castro UD
Markes UD
Nunes UD
Barboza 2nd Rd TKO
Yuri Alcantara 2nd Rd TKO
Prado 1st Rd KO
Trinaldo 2nd Rd TKO

Saturday, January 12, 2013

UFC 155 Top Plays 2-1

Top Play: 
Tim Boetsch (-115) vs. Costa Philippou (-105)
Boetsch has had some close calls and barely managed to get by his last 2 fights.  Philippou has solid boxing and strong takedown defense.  Boetsch has above average standup and strong wrestling.  Look for Philippou to stuff takedowns and win the standup battle on his way to a Decision victory. Take Philippou (-105).

Top Play:  2 Star Costa Philippou (-105)

Top Plays with Short Write Ups Due to Time Restraints
1 Star Jim Miller (-200)- Jim Miller is a little better than Lauzon in every aspect of MMA and also has much better cardio, Look for Miller to grind out a Decision victory

2 Star Michael Johnson (-240)- Johnson keeps improving and Jury has not fought anyone close to his level.  Johnson has much better standup and should be able to win a lopsided Decision or TKO.

Forced Action Plays:
Alan Belcher (+105)
Melvin Guillard (-140)
Perez vs Bloodworth Under 2.5 Rds. (-160)

Top Parlay
1 Star Junior Dos Santos; Erik Perez (-125)

Predictions
JDS 3rd Rd TKO
Miller UD
Philippou UD
Belcher 2nd Rd TKO
Leben 2nd Rd TKO
Pickett UD
Perez 1st Rd Sub
Guillard 2nd Rd TKO
Johnson 3rd Rd TKO
Duffe 1st Rd TKO
Holloway UD
Moraga UD