Saturday, October 13, 2012

UFC on FX 5 Top Plays, Parlay and Predictions

Travis Browne (-225) vs. Antonio Silva (+175) 5 RDS.
Travis Browne keeps improving in the Octagon.  He has an undefeated record with a solid standup game and ground game.  Look for Travis Browne to win this fight in the standup and drop Silva with punches sometime in the 2nd Rd.  Take Travis Browne (-225).

Top Play: 1/2 Star Travis Browne (-225) or better value Browne wins inside the distance (-170)

Jeremy Stephens (-225) vs. Yves Edwards (+190)  (Late news Stephens was in Jail last night be careful on this one)
Jeremy Stephens has some solid boxing and power in his hands.  Stephens should be able to land some big punches and control the clinch and out grapple Edwards.  Look for Stephens to win this fight by a late TKO/KO or take this on points.  Take Jeremy Stephens (-225)

Top Play: 2 Star Jeremy Stephens (-225)

Michael Johnson (-165) vs. Danny Castillo (+145)
Both fighters are well improved over the last 2 years.  Both have wrestling bases and solid striking.  Johnson probably holds the advantage in the striking slightly but look for Castillo to control the grappling and take this one by a close decision.  Take Danny Castillo (+145) and the Over 2.5 Rds. (-165)

Top Plays: 1/2 Star Danny Castillo (+145); 1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Michael Johnson vs Danny Castillo (-165)

Jacob Volkmann (-220) vs. Shane Roller (+180)
Both fighters have wrestling bases and solid grappling.  Neither one of these fighters are finishers and this fight has the recipe to go to decision.  Take the Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)

Top Play: 2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)

Mike Pierce (-175) vs. Aaron Simpson (+160)
Mike Pierce has a well rounded game as does Aaron Simpson.  Both have wrestling backgrounds buy Pierce is a little better at nearly every aspect of MMA.  Look for Pierce to win the standup and the grappling battle in this fight and take it by decision.  Take Mike Pierce (-175).

Top Play: 2 Star Mike Pierce (-175)

UFC on FX 5 Top Play, Parlays and FAPs:

Top Plays:
1/2 Star Travis Browne (-225)
2 Star Jeremy Stephens (-225)
1/2 Star Danny Castillo (+145)
1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Michael Johnson vs Danny Castillo (-165)
2 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Jacob Volkmann vs Shane Roller (-225)
2 Star Mike Pierce (-175)

Top Parlay:
1 Star Jacob Volkmann; Jake Ellenberger

FAPs(Forced Action Plays)
Over 2.5 Rds. Mike Pierce vs Aaron Simpson (-210)
Bart Palaszewski (+175)
Under 2.5 Rds. Ellenberger vs Hieron (-105)
Under 2.5 Rds. Dodson vs Formiga (+170)

Predictions
Pierce UD
LeVesseur UD
Uyenoyama UD
Palaszewski UD
Volkmann UD
Castillo UD
Stephens 2nd Rd TKO
Neer UD
Dodson 3rd Rd TKO
Ellenberger 2nd Rd TKO
Browne 2nd Rd TKO

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