Mauricio Shogun Rua (-380) vs. Brandon Vera (+300) 5 RDS.
Shogun
is a murderer and has elite muay thai, his wrestling has improved after getting
demolished by Jones. Vera has some
pretty decent muay thai himself but is not on the level of Shogun. Vera also has problems with his cardio and
won’t be able to handle Shogun’s blitzes of powerful strikes. Look for Shogun to hurt Vera in the 2nd
Rd with a looping punch and then finishing Vera on the ground with Hammer Fists
until the ref stops the fight. Take
Shogun by TKO/KO -170.
Top Plays: 3 Star Shogun Rua Prop
Bet by TKO/KO -170 (or your book might have an inside the distance prop with
close odds)
Mike Swick (-215) vs.
DaMarques Johnson (+180)
Mike
Swick had a long layoff and this should be the welcome back fight to get him on
track. Swick has some strong striking
and a decent grappling game. At this
point I don’t know what Johnson is still doing in the UFC, he has some ok power
in his hands but his ground game is pretty piss poor. Swick should control this fight in the
standup and if this fight goes to the ground he has a good shot of subbing
Johnson. Take Mike Swick (-215)
Top Play: 2 Star Mike Swick (-215)
UFC on Fox 4 Top Plays,
Parlays and FAPs:
Top Plays:
3
Star Shogun Rua by TKO/KO (-170)
2
Star Mike Swick (-215)
Top Parlay:
3
Star: Shogun Rua (-380); Lyoto Machida (-290)=
Forced Action Plays (FAPs):
Joe
Lauzon (-105)
Over
2.5 Rds. Grispi vs Yahya (+155)
Manvel
Gamburyan (-165)
Over
2.5 Rds. Omigawa vs. Gamburyan (-270)
Under 3.5 Rds. Shogun vs. Vera (-280)
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