Monday, October 7, 2013

UFC 165 Top Plays and Predictions

Jon Jones (-900) Alexander Gustafsson (+600) 5 Rds. Lightheavyweight Championship

Jon Jones is arguably the best fighter in MMA today.  Gustafsson is a solid boxer and well rounded but he will struggle with Jones’s wrestling.  If Jones gets Gustafsson on the ground he could finish him by submission or possibly TKO him.  Jon Jones should finish Gustafsson sometime in the 2nd or 3rd round. Almost played Jon Jones by Submission at + money but figured we would just take him inside the distance.

Top Play
:  2 Star Prop Bet Jon Jones wins Inside the Distance (-225)

Top Plays:

1 Star Costa Philippou (-150)- Philippou is a dangerous striker with solid takedown defense.  Carmont will look to limit exchanges and setup takedowns.  Philippou is the better striker and should be able to defend Carmont’s takedowns and win by decision or TKO in the late stages of the fight.

½ Star Mitch Gagnon (+150)- Gagnon is a solid grappler with good submissions and improved striking.  Kimura has some slick submissions and is pretty well rounded.  I see Gagnon out striking Kimura and hurting him then submitting him or possibly winning on points.  Mitch Gagnon should take this in his home country.

Predictions:
Jones 3rd Rd Sub
Barao UD
Mitrione 2nd Rd TKO
Philippou 3rd Rd TKO
Nurmagomedov UD
Jury UD
Menjivar 2nd Rd TKO
Thompson 2nd Rd TKO
Gagnon 2nd Rd Sub
Makdessi UD
Prazeres UD
Caceres UD
Omielanczuk 2nd Rd Sub

No comments:

Post a Comment