Monday, October 7, 2013

UFC Fight Night 27 Top Plays and Parlay go 2-1


Carlos Condit (-250) vs. Martin Kampmann (+220) 5 Rds.
Kampmann won the first fight and this is the rematch. Condit has a granite chin, slick BJJ and strong Muay Thai striking.  His wrestling D isn’t great but Kampmann is not a pure wrestler.  Kampmann did take Condit down in the first fight and he could do so.  Look for Condit to land the bigger strikers and wear down Kampmann in the late rounds. I see Condit hurting Kampann late and TKOing him or possibly winning on points.

Top Play:  No Top Play (Included on 1 Star Parlay listed below)

Top Plays:

1 Star Brian Melancon (+255)- Melancon has powerful striking with solid wrestling.  Gastelum is a solid wrestler and throws powerful but wild punches.  Money flooded in on Gastelum and makes this line better for us.  Look for Melancon to out strike Gastelum and capitalize on an opening and hurt Gastelum and win by TKO or possibly on points.

½ Star Court McGee (+140)- Court McGee has solid boxing and a good ground game. Whittaker has some power in his punches and is primarily a boxer.  This should be a close fight and McGee could outstrike Whittaker with his volume punching or he could get Whittaker against the cage and grind it out. Court McGee takes this on a close decision.

Top Parlays
1 Star Carlos Condit; Brad Tavares (-145)

Predictions:
Condit 4th Rd TKO
Dos Anjos UD
Melancon UD
McGee UD
Perez UD
Tavares UD
Andrews 2nd Rd TKO
Thatch 3rd Rd TKO
Hioki UD
Head UD
Cummings UD
Turjillo 2nd Rd TKO

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