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UFC on FX 8 Top Plays, Top Parlays, FAPs and Predictions

Luke Rockhold (-130) vs. Vitor Belfort (+110) 5 Rds.
Rockhold is the former Strikeforce MW Champion and is super well rounded and athletic.  Vitor Belfort is an explosive striker with solid BJJ.  I agree with Vegas and the line on this on.  I feel this is nearly a coinflip.  Vitor could win this early by TKO/KO or if this goes to the later rounds I see Rockhold being able to wear Vitor down and win the decision.  Vitor’s cardio is the question mark here but many of times he doesn’t need cardio as he finishes fights in the first or 2^nd round.  This is a hard one to play so we have no top play on this but have FAPs on this.

Top Play:  No top Play on Main Event
Main Event Forced Action Play: You might want to play a small hedge on prop bets Rockhold by Decision (+300) and Vitor by TKO/KO +175.

Top Plays:
2 Star Prop bet Dos Anjos vs Dunham goes the distance (-195)- This is going to be a very competitive fight with two solid grapplers. Dos Anjos does have some power in his hands but he shouldn’t land clean enough to finish Dunham.  I see this fight going to a very close decision.  You might have to take the over 2.5 if you don’t have prop plays, but I recommend the value on this fight going the distance.
½ Star Hacran Dias (+110)- Dias is a very strong grappler with strong wrestling.  His opponent Nik Lentz is also a great wrestler and strong grappler.  I see this being a close fight but there is value on Dias and plus if it goes to the judges the Brazilian judges should give him the nod.
½ Star Jussier Da Silva “Formiga” Prop bet by Submission (+300)- This play has value written all over it.  Jussier has a wonderful submission game and he knows he could struggle with Cariaso in the standup so he should look to get this to the ground.  Cariaso also was subbed in his last fight by a grappler not as elite as Jussier.

Top Parlays
1 Star Fabio Maldonado; Yuri Alcantara; Ronaldo Souza (+100)
1 Star Rafael Natal; Gleison Tibau (-110)
½ Star Over 2.5 Rds Tibau vs Cholish; Over 1.5 Rds Rio vs Trinaldo (+125)

Forced Action Plays (FAPs) For Action Junkies
Gleison Tibau (-220)
Jussier Da Silva Formiga (-170)
Paulo Thiago (-170)
Mike Rio (+280)
Ronaldo Souza Prop bet Inside the Distance (-205)

Predictions:
Rockhold UD
Souza 2^nd Rd Sub
Dos Anjos UD
Natal UD
Dias Split Decision
Trinaldo UD
Tibau UD
Thiago UD
Alcantara 2^nd Rd Sub
Maldonaldo 3^rd Rd TKO
Lineker UD
Da Silva 2^nd Rd Sub
Martins 2^nd Rd TKO