Monday, May 13, 2013

UFC 159 Top Play, Parlay and Predictions


Jon Jones (-970) vs. Chael Sonnen (+635) 5 Rds Light Heavyweight Title
Jon Jones is the best fighter in LHW division and one of the top fighters walking the planet today.  Chael has very good wrestling above average standup and an aggressive gameplan.  Jon Jones will be able to stay on the outside and pick apart Sonnen.  If Sonnen rushes in recklessly he could eat big shots potentially getting TKOed or possibly Subbed.  I could see Jon Jones hurting Chael and going for a submission.  Chael can only win this fight if he somehow takes Jones down and possibly TKOs or Subs him.  I just don’t see Chael winning this by decision unless somehow he gets takedown after takedown each round. But Jon Jones has never been takedown so it will be interesting to see how Jones fights off his back. The way Chael fights so aggressively could be his greatest asset or greatest downfall.  Will Chael slow up his fighting style because he knows Jones is a great counter fighter with dangerous strikes?  I see Jon Jones hurting Chael sometime in the 2nd or 3rd Rd and locking in a submission.

Top Play:  No top Play on Main Event but for a Forced Action Play you may want to put a small play on Jon Jones by Submission +105 or Jon Jones by TKO +150

Top Play:
1 Star Michael Bisping (-170)- Bisping is very well rounded and will mix it up with striking and takedowns to win the decision. 

Top Parlay
Leonard Garcia; Jim Miller (+105)

Forced Action Plays (FAPs) For Action Junkies
Jon Jones Prop bet by Sub +105
Sheila Gaff Inside the Distance +712 
Jim Miller by UD +150

Predictions:
Jones Submission 3rd Rd
Bisping UD
Nelson TKO 2nd
Davis UD
Miller UD
Khabilov 2nd Rd TKO
St. Preux UD
McMann UD
Bedford UD
Garcia 2nd Rd TKO
Siler UD

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