Monday, March 25, 2013

WSOF 2 Top Plays

Andrei Arlovski (-120) vs. Anthony Johnson (+110) HW Bout
Arlovski is known for his striking and power in his.  He has had problems with his chin and many people think his chin is shot.  Anthony Johnson beefed up to 230 lbs for this fight and he didn’t look bloated.  Johnson is a big man and had no business fighting at a starved 170 lbs and even 185 lbs.  His natural weight class is probably 205 but he has the strength to beef up and fight at HW.  Johnson has solid wrestling and explosive striking.  Arlovski has been working with Greg Jackson so you can expect him to probably counter fight and defend takedowns.  I see Johnson being the one pushing the pace and he could use his wrestling to gain takedowns in this fight.  Arlovski is very dangerous with his hands and could KO Johnson, but Johnson has more tools to win this fight.  Johnson could either KO or TKO Arlovski or even decision him if he wants to use his wrestling and clinch work. Take Anthony Johnson (+110).

Top Play:  1 Star Anthony Johnson (+110)

David Branch (-220) vs. Paulo Filho (+185)
Branch has a solid BJJ game with some decent takedowns.  His standup is very basic and he is not a power puncher.  He usually flashes his jab and looks for takedowns at certain points in the fight.  Paulo Filho is an aggressive fighter with solid power in his hands.  Filho’s BJJ game very solid and he can get the fight to the ground with takedowns.  Filho does have a history of drug problems and is not the same fighter we saw 5 years ago when he defeated Chael Sonnen.  Filho could gas in the later rounds and that makes him a slight liability.  There is no way I could think about taking David Branch at (-220).  Filho could finish this fight or win a Decision by pressing the action.  Take Paulo Filho (+185).

Top Plays:  1/2 Star Paulo Filho (+185)

Justin Gaethje (-150) vs. Gesias Cavalcante (+130)
Gaethje has a wrestling background and pretty solid standup.  Gesias “JZ” is a vet with many big fights under his belt.  At first I was thinking “JZ” is the pick but he is so up and down.  Look for Gaethje to use his wrestling and push JZ against the cage.  This fight should go to decision.  Take the Over 2.5 Rds. (+120)

Top Plays:  1 Star Over 2.5 Rds. Gaethje vs Cavalcante (+120)

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