Sunday, April 21, 2013

TUF 17

Urijah Faber(-450) vs. Scott Jorgensen (+410) 5 Rds
Faber is one of the best 135lbs fighters on the planet.  Jorgensen has solid wrestling and average standup.  This is one of those fights where the favorite is just better than the dog in every aspect of MMA.  The ONLY way Jorgensen might win this fight is to get a lucky KO punch or hurt Faber and finish him by TKO.  But good luck trying to knock out Faber and that Jay Leno chin.  Lets pull our nuts out and show the bookie we got some and cash on this big favorite.  I usually say don’t throw big on heavy favorites, but this is one where I say lock load and pull the trigger.  

Top Play: 5 Star Urijah Faber(-450)  

Top Plays:
1 Star Cat Zingano (-115)- Cat has solid grappling and powerful aggressive standup.  Look for Zingano to bring the fight to Tate.  Tate’s standup is her weakness and she will have to get this fight to the ground.  I say Zingano wins this by 2nd or 3rd Rd TKO. 

1 Star Bart Palaszewski (-160)- Bart is a solid striker, look for Bart to keep this fight standing and pick apart Cole Miller possible getting a TKO stoppage in the later stages of the fight.

1 Star Sam Sicilia (+190)- Sicilia has solid standup with power in his hands.  This fight seems like it should be near a coin flip.  

Forced Action Plays (For Action Junkies):
Travis Browne Inside the Distance (-140)
Urijah Faber Inside the Distance (-140) (5 Rd. Fight)
Bristol Marunde (+140)

Predictions:
Faber 3rd Rd Sub
Hall 2nd Rd TKO
Zingano 2nd Rd TKO
Palaszewski 3rd Rd TKO
Pineda UD
Sicilia 2nd Rd TKO
Browne 2nd Rd TKO
Marunde 1st Rd Sub

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