Saturday, May 12, 2012

Bellator 68 and TUF 15 Recap: Top Plays Package 3-0

Paying members cashed big last night hitting 3 out of 3 Top Plays and 2 of the Top Plays were dogs!  Straus won the Bellator Featherweight tournament, Zaromskis won an exciting doctor stoppage and Chiesa gets a TKO stoppage as a +260 dog!  The Marrero vs Petrezulli fight was cancelled last night due to Petrezulli's illness.  Check out our write ups below that paying members received and stay tuned for our Top Plays Package for UFC on Fuel Poirier vs Korean Zombie.  We will also have a Top Plays Package on the Strikeforce event this Saturday May 19th.   


Bellator 68 and TUF 15 Episode 10 Top Plays and Parlays:

Marlon Sandro (-120) vs. Daniel Straus (+110)
Sandro has some technical boxing skills and is a good overall grappler.  Daniel Straus is an explosive wrestler with some solid stand up skills.  Marlon Sandro didn’t look so strong his last outing and won a split decision.  Straus continues to improve with only 1 loss in the last few years.  Straus will mix in his strikes to setup takedowns and look to grind out Sandro.  Sandro doesn’t have much experience fighting a true American wrestler.  Look for Straus to befuddle Sandro and take this fight on points by takedowns and octagon control.  Take Straus +105.

Top Play:  4 Star Daniel Straus (+110)

Marius Zaromksis (-360) vs. Waachim Spiritwolf (+300)
Zaromsksis is a knockout artist with explosive and violent striking.  Waachim Spiritwolf is a brawling type of fighter who looks to land a big KO punch.  Zaromksis striking is on another level than Spiritwolfs.  Zaromskis should control this fight by slowly picking apart Spiritwolf and eventually TKO or KO Spiritwolf in the late 1st or early 2nd rd.  Take Marius Zaromskis (-360)

Top Play:  3 Star Marius Zaromskis (-360)

Carmelo Marrero (-125) vs. Seth Petruzelli (+105)
Marrero is primarily a wrestler and Petruzelli is primarily a striker.  Petruzelli struggled with wrestlers in the past.  Marrero has a strong chin and should be able to take Petruzelli off his game by getting takedowns and controlling Petruzelli on the ground.  Look for Marrero to wear down Petruzelli by clinching and pushing him against the cage and scoring takedowns throughout the fight.  This one could be going to the scorecards or Marrero might even crank on a late submission.  Take Carmelo Marrero (-125).

Top Play:  1 Star Carmelo Marrero (-125)

Justin Lawrence (-320) vs. Michael Chiesa (+260)
Justin Lawrence is a young and explosive striker with not many pro fights on his record.  Chiesa is a wrestler and submission artist who likes to get the fight to the ground.  This line opened at about Lawrence (-245) and has been bet all the way to (-320).  We believe this line should have been closer to even.  Lawrence has a couple of recent KO finishes and he will have to KO Chiesa to win this fight or possibly take it on points by keeping this fight standing.  Chiesa has above average standup with some pretty quick and lengthy punches.  He will try to time his takedowns and get Lawrence to the ground to try to work his submission game.  Chiesa could take this by a decision or possibly a 2nd or 3rd Rd. submission.  Take Michael Chiesa (+260).

Top Play:  1 Star Michael Chiesa (+260)

Bellator 68 and TUF Top Plays and Parlays:

4 Star Daniel Straus (+110)
3 Star Marius Zaromskis (-360)
1 Star Carmelo Marrero (-125)
1 Star Michael Chiesa (+260)

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