UFC on Fuel 10 Top Plays and Top Parlays go 5-1 & Profit 3 Units/Stars

Fabricio Werdum (-300) vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (+250) 5 Rds. Werdum has a very strong grappling, BJJ game and his striking continues to improve. Nogueira is a great grappler and has solid boxing, but he is getting older and look for his chin to get tested in this one.  Werdum takes this fight with his superior standup and TKOs Noguiera sometime in the 2^nd Rd.  

Top Play:  1 Star Prop bet Fabricio Werdum wins Inside the Distance (-140)

Top Plays:
1/2 Star Prop Bet Fight won’t go the Distance Macario vs Santos (-105)- Macario is a dangerous striker and finishes most of his fights with his punching power. Santos is a strong grappler who wins many fights by submission.  I see either fighter being able to finish this fight.  Take the under 2.5 if you aren’t able to prop bet the fight won’t go the distance.

1 Star Erick Silva Prop wins Inside the Distance (-190)- Erick Silva is a finisher with explosive striking and a sick submission game.  I believe Erick Silva probably finishes this fight by TKO/KO but he could very easily lock in a submission if he hurts High. I was thinking of going Silva by TKO/KO prop at +115 but decided to play it safe and take Silva to win Inside the Distance.

½ Star Godofredo “Pepey” Castro (+190)- Castro is developing his striking game and is a very strong grappler with slick submissions.  Look for Castro to out strike and out grapple Arantes on his way to a decision victory.This line should be closer to even. 

Top Parlays
1 Star Erick Silva; Raphael Assuncao (-160)
1 Star Antonio Neto; Over 2.5 Rds Damm vs. Hiota (+125)

Forced Action Plays (FAPs) For Action Junkies
William Macario (+180)
Karlos Vemola (-120)

Predictions:
Werdum 2^nd Rd TKO
Macario 2^nd Rd TKO
Calvacante 2^nd Rd TKO
Sarafian 2^nd Rd Sub
Silva 1^st Rd TKO
Bezerra 3^rd Rd TKO
Assuncao UD
Castro UD
Alcantara 2nd Rd Sub
Hirota UD
Vemola UD
Neto 1^st Rd Sub