UFC on FX 8 Top Plays, Top Parlays, FAPs and Predictions
Luke Rockhold (-130) vs. Vitor Belfort (+110) 5 Rds.
Rockhold
is the former Strikeforce MW Champion and is super well rounded and
athletic. Vitor Belfort is an explosive
striker with solid BJJ. I agree with
Vegas and the line on this on. I feel
this is nearly a coinflip. Vitor could
win this early by TKO/KO or if this goes to the later rounds I see Rockhold
being able to wear Vitor down and win the decision. Vitor’s cardio is the question mark here but
many of times he doesn’t need cardio as he finishes fights in the first or 2nd
round. This is a hard one to play so we
have no top play on this but have FAPs on this.
Top Play: No top Play on Main Event
Main Event Forced
Action Play: You might want to play a small hedge on prop bets Rockhold by Decision
(+300) and Vitor by TKO/KO +175.
Top Plays:
2
Star Prop bet Dos Anjos vs Dunham goes the distance (-195)- This is going to be
a very competitive fight with two solid grapplers. Dos Anjos does have some
power in his hands but he shouldn’t land clean enough to finish Dunham. I see this fight going to a very close
decision. You might have to take the
over 2.5 if you don’t have prop plays, but I recommend the value on this fight
going the distance.
½ Star
Hacran Dias (+110)- Dias is a very strong grappler with strong wrestling. His opponent Nik Lentz is also a great
wrestler and strong grappler. I see this
being a close fight but there is value on Dias and plus if it goes to the judges
the Brazilian judges should give him the nod.
½ Star
Jussier Da Silva “Formiga” Prop bet by Submission (+300)- This play has value
written all over it. Jussier has a
wonderful submission game and he knows he could struggle with Cariaso in the
standup so he should look to get this to the ground. Cariaso also was subbed in his last fight by
a grappler not as elite as Jussier.
Top Parlays
1
Star Fabio Maldonado; Yuri Alcantara; Ronaldo Souza (+100)
1
Star Rafael Natal; Gleison Tibau (-110)
½ Star
Over 2.5 Rds Tibau vs Cholish; Over 1.5 Rds Rio vs Trinaldo (+125)
Forced Action Plays (FAPs)
For Action Junkies
Gleison
Tibau (-220)
Jussier
Da Silva Formiga (-170)
Paulo
Thiago (-170)
Mike
Rio (+280)
Ronaldo
Souza Prop bet Inside the Distance (-205)
Predictions:
Rockhold
UD
Souza
2nd Rd Sub
Dos
Anjos UD
Natal
UD
Dias
Split Decision
Trinaldo
UD
Tibau
UD
Thiago
UD
Alcantara
2nd Rd Sub
Maldonaldo
3rd Rd TKO
Lineker
UD
Da
Silva 2nd Rd Sub
Martins
2nd Rd TKO
Sunday, May 19, 2013
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
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Octagon Locks specializes in MMA Handicapping and predictions. Each fight we analyze and take every factor in consideration from grappling and striking to cardio and weight cuts. As you may know styles make fights and we breakdown each fighters strengths and weaknesses. After we breakdown fights we make predictions, Top Plays, Top Parlays, and Forced Action Plays (FAPs). To buy a Top Plays Package please click on the Pay Pal button at the top right of our page and choose your package. If you have any questions please don't hesitate to contact us at octagonlocks@gmail.com or contact us on twitter @octagonlocks.
Losses- 1 Star Ramsey Nijem (+230); 1 Star Clifford Starks (+145)
Last 2 UFC Cards +5.9 Stars (Units)
-Top Plays 5-2 and Top Parlays 1-1= +5.9 Stars or Units
-A $200 dollar bettor who bets our Stars as Units would Profit $1,180 over the last 2 Cards!
UFC Fox 7 Top Plays:
Wins- 2 Star Benson Henderson by Decision (-115); 1 Star Josh Thomson (+155); 1 Star Matt Brown (+290); 1 Star Francis Carmont (-145)Losses- 1 Star Ramsey Nijem (+230); 1 Star Clifford Starks (+145)
UFC 159 Top Play:
1 Star Michael Bisping (-170)Definitions of our Plays:
Top Plays
Top Plays are graded from 1 to 5 Stars and are the plays we advise clients to bet on.Top Parlays
Top Parlays are Parlays we advise clients to bet on.Forced Action Plays
Forced Action Plays (FAPs) are plays that missed our Top Plays but have some value. We do not advise clients to bet these plays. FAPs are plays for action junkies who need to bet more fights than we advise. Sometimes these plays are long shot dogs. If you do bet on these please be careful and make your plays small.Monday, May 13, 2013
UFC 159 Top Play, Parlay and Predictions
Jon Jones (-970) vs. Chael Sonnen (+635) 5 Rds Light Heavyweight Title
Jon Jones is the best fighter in LHW division and one of the top fighters walking the planet today. Chael has very good wrestling above average standup and an aggressive gameplan. Jon Jones will be able to stay on the outside and pick apart Sonnen. If Sonnen rushes in recklessly he could eat big shots potentially getting TKOed or possibly Subbed. I could see Jon Jones hurting Chael and going for a submission. Chael can only win this fight if he somehow takes Jones down and possibly TKOs or Subs him. I just don’t see Chael winning this by decision unless somehow he gets takedown after takedown each round. But Jon Jones has never been takedown so it will be interesting to see how Jones fights off his back. The way Chael fights so aggressively could be his greatest asset or greatest downfall. Will Chael slow up his fighting style because he knows Jones is a great counter fighter with dangerous strikes? I see Jon Jones hurting Chael sometime in the 2nd or 3rd Rd and locking in a submission.
Top Play: No top Play on Main Event but for a Forced Action Play you may want to put a small play on Jon Jones by Submission +105 or Jon Jones by TKO +150
Top Play:
1 Star Michael Bisping (-170)- Bisping is very well rounded and will mix it up with striking and takedowns to win the decision.
Top Parlay
Leonard Garcia; Jim Miller (+105)
Forced Action Plays (FAPs) For Action Junkies
Jon Jones Prop bet by Sub +105
Sheila Gaff Inside the Distance +712
Jim Miller by UD +150
Predictions:
Jones Submission 3rd Rd
Bisping UD
Nelson TKO 2nd
Davis UD
Miller UD
Khabilov 2nd Rd TKO
St. Preux UD
McMann UD
Bedford UD
Garcia 2nd Rd TKO
Siler UD
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