Wednesday, February 15, 2012

UFC Fuel TV 1



UFC Fuel TV 1:
Hey guys sorry for the late post and I hope you cashed in last time!  Let’s get to business this card has many UFC new comers and middle of the road fighters.  Nothing really hits us in the face as a strong play, however we assembled some juicy picks just for you guys!

Dave Herman (-140) vs. Stefan Struve (+120)
Dave Herman has a strong wrestling background, solid standup and mobility for a Heavyweight fighter.  Stefan Struve has a long reach but never really uses it to his advantage and his strength lies in his ground game and submissions.  The problem is Struve probably won’t be able to get the fight to the ground and gain top control.  The only way Struve wins this fight is a lucky submission off his back.  Look for Dave Herman to keep the fight standing possibly landing a takedown and eventually scoring a big KO punch on Struve late first or mid 2nd rd.
Top Play: 3 star Dave Herman (-140)

Diego Sanchez (+305) vs. Jake Ellenberger (-365)
Diego Sanchez has a ton of heart and is always pushing forward and forcing the action in a fight.  Diego sports an iron chin with some above average standup and a strong ground game.  Jake Ellenberger is a well rounded fighter with some powerful striking a strong wrestling background and strong clinch work.  In order for Diego to win this fight he will have to push forward and tire out Ellenberger in his way to a grinding Decision victory.   Jake Ellenberger should be able to control this fight and keep it standing landing bigger punches to secure a Decision.  The money however on this fight indicates maybe a small play on Diego being close to a 3 to 1 dog.  We see this fight being more as Ellenberger as a 2 to 1 favorite.  However Diego has only been finished in a Championship fight (5th Round) by BJ Penn and Ellenberger has only been subbed once in his career.  The strong play in this fight does not rely on a fighter but the over 2.5 rounds (-175).
Top Play: 1 Star Over 2.5 Rounds (-175)

Tonights Plays:
Parlay: 1 star Stipe Miocic (-400); Brookins (-210); Ivan Menjivar (-195)

Top Plays: 3 Star Dave Herman (-140); 1 Star Over 2.5 Rounds Diego Sanchez vs. Jake Ellenberger (-175)

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