UFC 154 Top Plays and Parlays Overall 5-3

Georges St.-Pierre (-320) vs. Carlos Condit (+260)

GSP is extremely talented and well rounded.  Condit has explosive striking with KO power and solid BJJ.    Condit’s biggest weakness plays into GSP’s strength, which is Condits lackluster Takedown D vs GSP’s explosive takedowns and top control.  Look for GPS to point fight using takedowns and ground and pound to control this fight.  GSP probably won’t want to stand and strike too much with Condit.  GSP racks up points and takes this one by UD.  Take GSP prop by Decision (-150).  If you are scared to take GSP by Dec. don’t be scared to take GSP at -320, I still think this is a favorable line and GSP should be around (-500).

Top Play:  2 Star Prop Bet GSP by Decision (-150)

Top Plays with Short Write ups (Due to time restraints)

1 Star Cyrille Diabate (-155)- Diabate is a talented striker and Griggs is a brawler; Look for Diabate to win the standup battle with a possible TKO but mostly likely takes this on points.

1/2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Diabate vs Griggs (+135)- Diabate is good at keeping distance and should stay away from Griggs power.  The plus money makes this a decent bet.

2 Star Mark Bocek (+130)- Bocek and Dos Anjos have strong BJJ but look for Bocek to score the takedowns and keep top control long enough in this fight to take it on points.

1 Star Sam Stout (-210)- The early line on this was Stout around -400.  The public bet this line down considerably.  This looks like a favorable line for Stout, he has a solid chin and more experience than Makdessi.

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds Maguire vs. Riddle (-220)- This one should go to Decision. I feel the money even at (-220) makes it a decent play. Both have strong chins and pretty strong grappling games.  Neither are really big power punchers, this one is probably going to Decision.

Top Parlays

1 Star Ivan Menjivar (-280); Francis Carmont (-255); Antonio Carvalho (-310)= +150

1 Star GSP (-320); Over 2.5 Rds. Bocek vs Dos Anjos (-170)= +110

Top Plays

2 Star Prop Bet GSP by Decision (-150)

1 Star Cyrille Diabate (-155)

1/2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Diabate vs Griggs (+135)

2 Star Mark Bocek (+130)

1 Star Sam Stout (-210)

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds Maguire vs. Riddle (-220)