UFC 154 Top Plays and Parlays Overall 5-3

Georges St.-Pierre (-320) vs. Carlos Condit (+260)

GSP is extremely talented and well rounded.  Condit has explosive striking with KO power and solid BJJ.    Condit’s biggest weakness plays into GSP’s strength, which is Condits lackluster Takedown D vs GSP’s explosive takedowns and top control.  Look for GPS to point fight using takedowns and ground and pound to control this fight.  GSP probably won’t want to stand and strike too much with Condit.  GSP racks up points and takes this one by UD.  Take GSP prop by Decision (-150).  If you are scared to take GSP by Dec. don’t be scared to take GSP at -320, I still think this is a favorable line and GSP should be around (-500).

Top Play:  2 Star Prop Bet GSP by Decision (-150)

Top Plays with Short Write ups (Due to time restraints)

1 Star Cyrille Diabate (-155)- Diabate is a talented striker and Griggs is a brawler; Look for Diabate to win the standup battle with a possible TKO but mostly likely takes this on points.

1/2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Diabate vs Griggs (+135)- Diabate is good at keeping distance and should stay away from Griggs power.  The plus money makes this a decent bet.

2 Star Mark Bocek (+130)- Bocek and Dos Anjos have strong BJJ but look for Bocek to score the takedowns and keep top control long enough in this fight to take it on points.

1 Star Sam Stout (-210)- The early line on this was Stout around -400.  The public bet this line down considerably.  This looks like a favorable line for Stout, he has a solid chin and more experience than Makdessi.

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds Maguire vs. Riddle (-220)- This one should go to Decision. I feel the money even at (-220) makes it a decent play. Both have strong chins and pretty strong grappling games.  Neither are really big power punchers, this one is probably going to Decision.

Top Parlays

1 Star Ivan Menjivar (-280); Francis Carmont (-255); Antonio Carvalho (-310)= +150

1 Star GSP (-320); Over 2.5 Rds. Bocek vs Dos Anjos (-170)= +110

Top Plays

2 Star Prop Bet GSP by Decision (-150)

1 Star Cyrille Diabate (-155)

1/2 Star Over 1.5 Rds. Diabate vs Griggs (+135)

2 Star Mark Bocek (+130)

1 Star Sam Stout (-210)

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds Maguire vs. Riddle (-220)

UFC on Fuel 6 Top Plays and Parlay

Rich Franklin (-350) vs. Cung Le (+290) 5 RDS.

Rich Franklin is a solid striker with great boxing and power in his hands.  Cung Le is a solid striker also, but has a suspect chin.  Franklin is better than Le in nearly every aspect of MMA other than pure kicks.  Look for Rich to wear down Le with combinations and eventually finish Le sometime in the 3^rd Rd.  Take Rich Franklin (-350).

Top Plays: 3 Star Rich Franklin (-350); 1 Star Prop Bet Rich Franklin inside the distance (-190)

Dong Hyun Kim (-270) vs. Paulo Thiago (+230)

Hyun Kim is well rounded with exceptional Judo.  Thiago has solid grappling and KO power in his hands.  The line seems a little off on this one.  We believe this line should be closer to even.  Take Paulo Thiago (+230)

Top Play: 1 Star Paulo Thiago (+230)

John Lineker (-145) vs. Yasuhiro Urushitani (+125)

Lineker has some explosive striking and KO power in his hands.  Look for him to win this fight on points or land a big punch and finish Urushitani by TKO sometime in the 2^nd or 3^rd Rd.  Take John Lineker (-145).

Top Play: 1 Star John Lineker (-145)

UFC on Fuel 6 Top Plays and Parlay:

Top Plays:

3 Star Rich Franklin (-350)

1 Star Prop Bet Rich Franklin wins inside the distance (-190)

1 Star Paulo Thiago (+230)

1 Star John Lineker (-145)

Top Parlay:

2 Star Thiago Silva; Riki Fukuda