Tuesday, October 29, 2013

UFC Fight Night 30 we Cash Again


Lyoto Machida (-380) vs. Mark Munoz (+315) 5 Rds.
Machida is a wonderful counter striker with solid grappling and takedown defense.  Munoz has a solid wrestling base with pretty good striking.  Machida should be able to keep this fight standing and pick his spots.  Munoz throws many wild punches and will have to take chances to be competitive in this fight.  Machida should catch Munoz with a counter flurry and put him away sometime in the 3rd Rd.

Top Play
:  1 Star Prop Bet Lyoto Machida wins Inside the Distance (-105)

Top Plays:
1 Star Al Iaquinta (-140)- Iaquinta is a solid wrestler and boxer with power in his hands.  He continues to improve his grappling and BJJ.  Hallmann is pretty well rounded, but look for Iaquinta to land the bigger shots on his way to a decision victory or late TKO.

1 Star Andrew Craig (-175)- Craig is well rounded and has the ability to finish fights.  His opponent Barnatt is lanky with a slight reach advantage.  Craig has more ways to win this fight as he has more power and better wrestling.  Craig could land big strikes and win by TKO or use his wrestling to win on points.

½ Star Andy Ogle (+165)- Ogle is a solid boxer with underrated wrestling/grappling.  He has the advantage on the feet vs Cole Miller.  Cole Miller’s strength is his BJJ and submissions, but Ogle has shown strong grappling and submission D.  Miller could get the submission but his takedowns aren’t very good so I don’t see him getting a dominant position in the grappling unless he reverses or sweeps Ogle.  Ogle could even get top position with his superior wrestling, but I think he uses his Defensive wrestling to keep this standing and outpoint Miller.  Ogle should win this by Decision.

Top Parlays:
1 Star Lyoto Machida; John Lineker (-155)

½ Star WSOF Parlay: Josh Burkman; Marlon Moraes; Jon Fitch; Justin Gaethje (+150)

Predictions:
Machida 3rd Rd TKO
Guillard 2nd Rd TKO
Manuwa 2nd Rd TKO
Parke UD
Sakara 2nd Rd TKO
Lineker 2nd Rd TKO
Iaquinta UD
Craig UD
Andrade UD
Ogle UD
Hettes 2nd Rd Sub
Kuiper 2nd Rd

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