UFC Fight Night 26 (Fox Sports 1)

Shogun Rua (-140) vs. Chael Sonnen (+120) 5 Rds.

Chael Sonnen is a grinding wrestler with strong takedowns and solid top control.  Shogun is a dangerous Muay Thai striker with a solid BJJ game.  Shogun does have problems with his takedown defense and has been takedown many times by wrestlers with ease.  Look for Chael to get multiple takedowns and win this fight by a Decision or possible late stoppage when Shogun gasses.

Top Play:  1 Star Chael Sonnen (+120)

Top Plays:

1 Star Alistair Overeem (-170)- Alistair Overeem is a dangerous striker with a solid grappling game. His opponent Travis Browne is also a dangerous striker and solid grappler. Overeem is the superior fighter and should finish Browne. Late money flooded in on Brown and gave us a good number on Overeem.

1 Star Matt Brown (-150)- Matt Brown is a very dangerous striker with a solid chin and has TKOed most of his opponents. His opponent Mike Pyle is well rounded and could possibly win this fight by submission, but he will have a hard time getting this fight to the ground. Look for Matt Brown to land big strikes and finish Pyle by TKO sometime in this fight.

½ Star Brad Pickett (+225)- This fight is closer than the line and it deserves a small play.  Brad Pickett is a well rounded fighter with a solid chin. Michael McDonald is a powerful striker and also well rounded with his weakness probably being his wrestling.  Pickett’s chin should serve him well and he could win this in the standup due to more offensive output or use his wrestling to grind this out and take a decision.

Top Parlays

1 Star Joe Lauzon; Urijah Faber (+115)

1 Star Diego Brandao; Mike Brown (+115)

Predictions:

Sonnen UD

Overeem 2^nd Rd TKO

Faber UD

Matt Brown 2^nd Rd TKO
Hall 3^rd Rd TKO

Lauzon 2^nd Rd Sub

Pickett UD

McGregor 3^rd Rd TKO

Mike Brown 2^nd Rd TKO

Brandao 2^nd Rd TKO

Miller UD

St. Preux 2^nd Rd TKO

Nijem UD

UFC 163 3-1 on Top Plays/Parlay

Jose Aldo (-800) vs. Chan Sung Jung (+635) 5 Rds. Featherweight Championship

This should be a pretty exciting fight and Aldo should probably get the finish but we are going to stay away from this fight.  Sorry but we have no Top Play for the Main Event.  I guess if you really want a forced play from my prediction you will see below I would say take Aldo Inside the Distance.

Top Play:  No Top Play

Top Plays:

1 Star Thales Leites (-125)- Leites has a very strong grappling game with many submission victories.  His striking defense is pretty solid and he has never been TKOed. His opponent Watson has strong striking and KO power but his takedown defense is not very solid.  Look for Leites to get takedowns and win on points or by a submission.

½ Star Under 2.5 Rds Lineker vs Tome (-130)- Lineker came in over weight but he should still get the finish. Tome is also a finisher with many submission and TKO wins in his career.

½ Star Sergio Moraes (-120)- Moraes has sick submissions and has some power in his hands. His opponent Magny is rangy, but has a suspect chin and ground game. Moraes should finish this fight.

Top Parlay

1 Star Lyoto Machida; Vinny Magalhaes; Ian McCall (+105)

Predictions:

Aldo 4^th Rd TKO

Machida UD

Ferreira 2^nd Rd TKO

Leites 2^nd Rd Sub

Lineker 2^nd Rd TKO

Magalhaes UD

Nunes UD

Moraes 2^nd Rd Sub

McCall UD

Yahya 1^st Rd Sub

Oliveira 2^nd Rd TKO

Andrade UD

UFC on Fox 8 (+13 Stars/Units on last 8 Cards)

UFC on Fox 8

Demetrious Johnson (-475) vs. John Moraga (+420) 5 Rds. Flyweight Championship

Johnson should outpoint Moraga on his way to a decision victory.

Top Play:  1 Star Prop Bet Demetrious Johnson by Decision (-150)

Top Parlay

1 Star Danny Castillo; Jorge Masvidal (-115)