Friday, February 15, 2013

Great Night 4-1 on Top Plays 4-2 Overall

Jose Aldo (-170) vs. Frankie Edgar (+150) 5 Rds Featherweight Title
Aldo is one of the greatest fighters p4p today.  He has outstanding Muay Thai, BJJ and Takedown defense.  Frankie Edgar is a strong wrestler with outstanding footwork and boxing. It is possible for Edgar to outwork Edgar for a decision but I think the opposite. Aldo will outstrike Edgar and win a close decision. The money flooded in on Edgar today which brings Aldo to a tasty price.  Take Jose Aldo (-170) and Over 4.5 Rds (-155).

Top Plays:  2 Stars Over 4.5 Rds (-155)
1 Star Jose Aldo (-170)

Top Plays with Short Write ups:
1/2 Star Fitch by Decision prop (+105)-  Fitch is a great wrestler with strong submission D.  Maia could finish this by sub but probably not.  I feel Fitch grinds out another decision.

1 Star Over 2.5 Rds Dunham vs Tibau (-190)- This should be a very close fight with some good exchanges and grappling.  Both these fighters are hard to finish and aren’t known to finish top competition.

1 Star Tyron Woodley- Woodley continues to improve on striking and is a great wrestler.  Look for Woodley to win in the striking and even get a takedown or two in this fight to win a UD.

Top Parlay
1 Star Rashad Evans; Alistair Overeem; Jacob Vokmann (-120)

Saturday, February 2, 2013

UFC on Fox 6 Top Plays and Parlays 5-2 Overall!

Glover Teixeira (-330) vs. Quinton Jackson (+270) 5 Rds
Teixeira is a very gifted fighter, with all around solid game and solid powerful striking.  Most people still question if Rampage cares.  The money keeps going on Teixeira and getting Rampage juicier.  If this fight was around -180 yeah I would jump on Teixeira but I still know Rampage is a dangerous fighter and is the type of guy who can beat Teixeira.  If Rampage connects once it could be over. Teixeira will look to get takedowns in the fight and possibly GNP or look for a submission.  I will take my chance at +270 and say Rampage is a live dog and could win this by TKO or even a possible UD.   Take Rampage Jackson (+270).

Top Play:  1 Star Quinton Jackson (+270)

Top Plays with Short Write Ups Due to Time Restraints
1/2 Star Lamas (+155)-  Llamas is a solid striker and Koch probably has the advantage there but Llamas’s offensive wrestling should be the x factor as he grinds out a UD.

1 Star Guida by Decision prop (-140)- Guida is a bad matchup for Hioki and will grind out a UD with his wrestling.  He could also outstrike Hioki if he needs.

1 Star TJ Grant- Grant should be able control the distance with his reach and out grapple Wiman to a UD.

1/2 Star TJ Grant by Decision prop (+200) this is too juicy to pass up, if Grant wins it will be by UD probably as Wiman is hard to finish and Grant wins most his fights by UD.

Top Parlays
1 Star Ryan Bader; Rafael Natal (-155)
½ Star Johnson; Guida (+170)

Forced Action Plays:
Natal (-245)
Cerrone (+120)
Lamas UD (+245)